2013-05-01 Britannia länsimaiden monimuotoisin maa etnisesti vuonna 2050

[Suomi2050]

Loput linkin takaa: http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-2317624/Changing-face-Britain-By-2050-UK-overtake-United-States-ethnically-diverse-Western-nation.html

Vuonna 2050 "ei-valkoisten" ja ulkomaalaisten osuus Britannian väestöstä on 38%.

Britannia saattaa ohittaa Yhdysvallat länsimaiden monimuotoisimpana maana.

Kaikki etniset vähemmistöt yhteenlaskettuna ohittaisivat valkoiset brittiläiset n. vuonna 2070.

Changing face of Britain: How UK could overtake the United States as the West's most ethnically diverse nation by 2050

Britain to experience one of the biggest changes in population, study says
By 2050 non-whites and foreigners could account for 38% of people in UK
David Cameron claims arrivals Romania and Bulgaria will be limited

Britain is on course to become one of the most diverse countries in the world.

New research suggests up to half of people in the UK will be foreign or from an ethnic minority  within half a century.

It means the UK could overtake the United States as the world's melting pot, with fewer people describing themselves as British or white.

(http://i.dailymail.co.uk/i/pix/2013/05/01/article-0-1991D1DF000005DC-208_634x402.jpg)

A report by Oxford academics reveals the extent that immigration is changing the face of countries around the world.

Professor David Coleman said: 'On current trends European populations will become more ethnically diverse, with the possibility that today's majority ethnic groups will no longer comprise a numerical majority in some countries.'

More than a third (37 per cent) of people in the UK will be non-white or born overseas by 2040, he said. This would put Britain level with the US.

Prof Coleman pointed to a study which suggests 'the crossover for the whole country when the combined population of all ethnic minority groups together would exceed the population of "White British"' will occur at around 2070.

However, he says the Coalition's plans to limit net migration could have an enduring effect on the impact in the make-up of the British population.
Calming words: The UK will not have 'another Polish situation,' David Cameron, seen speaking in Bridgwater, Somerset, said regarding the possible influx of migrants from new EU nations

Calming words: The UK will not have 'another Polish situation,' David Cameron, seen speaking in Bridgwater, Somerset, said regarding the possible influx of migrants from new EU nations

The projections come in a report by the Migration Observatory at Oxford University, where Prof Coleman is professor of demography.

'Migration has become the primary driver of demographic change in most high-income countries and may remain so,' he said.

According to the data, around a fifth of people in the UK are non-white or non-British.

But this is expected to rise to a quarter by 2025, a third by 2040 and reach up to 38 per cent by 2050.

The increase from 2010 to 2050 in the UK - by 22 percentage points - is the highest of the main western countries analysed in the study.

Over the same period, the proportion of non-whites and migrants in Denmark will rise from 10 per cent to 14 per cent.

The continuation of these trends in low-fertility countries would eventually lead to the majority ethnic group becoming a numerical minority of the national population,' the report adds.

'Recent US projections assume that the US will become the first 'majority minority' population in the world in about 2043, although in this case the 'minority' includes black Americans who are not, for the most part, of recent immigrant origin unlike the rapidly-growing Hispanic population.

'

[matkamiehiii]

Mikähän mahtaa olla ennuste rakkaan länsinaapurimme kohdalla?

[Suomi2050]

The Sunin artikkelissa sanotaan, että valkoiset britit ovat vähemmistössä vuonna 2066.

The ethnic majority
— 2050: Britain will be most ethnically diverse nation
— 2066: White Britons will be in the minority in UK

http://www.thesun.co.uk/sol/homepage/news/politics/4909876/White-Britons-minority-by-2066-claim.html

[Ari-Lee]

Suvaitsevaisuus onkin kansakunnan viimeinen hyve.

[Miniluv]

The Sunin artikkelissa sanotaan, että valkoiset britit ovat vähemmistössä vuonna 2066.

Prof Coleman pointed to a study which suggests 'the crossover for the whole country when the combined population of all ethnic minority groups together would exceed the population of "White British"' will occur at around 2070.

Vuonna 2000 ennuste oli, että "voi tätä ilon ja riemun päivää" päästään sanomaan vuonna 2100.

http://hommaforum.org/index.php/topic,419.0.html

[-PPT-]

Takavuosina ihmiset sanoivat että "saadaan vähän väriä katukuvaan". Nykyään kukaan ei sano noin koska se kuulostaa niin kornilta mutta tuo todellakin on tulevaisuutta. Toisinpäin tuo ei tietenkään toimi. Valkoisten muuttaminen mustille alueille ei ole toivottavaa. Tosin, ei kovin todennäköistäkään.

[Lahti-Saloranta]

Onko kellään tietoa siitä mikä tilanne Irlannissa on.

[matkamiehiii]

Noh britit soti natsi-Saksaa vastaan joka olisi halunnut tehdä Briteistä 100% valkoisen osana jotain arjalaista herrakansaa, britit valitsi suvaitsevaisuuden ja oli valmiita sotimaan sen puolesta joten miksi he nyt valittaa siitä?

[Suomi2050]

Onko kellään tietoa siitä mikä tilanne Irlannissa on.

Ethnic backgrounds: White Irish: 84.5%, Irish Travellers: 0.7%, Other White: 9.1% (total White: 94.3%), Asian: 1.9%, Black: 1.4%, Other: 0.9%, Not Stated: 1.6% (2011)

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Demographics_of_the_Republic_of_Ireland#Ethnic_groups

[Suvaitsija]

Jaa mää kun luulin, että tämä oli vain äärioikeiston apokalyptishouruinen salaliittoteoria.

[Lahti-Saloranta]

Ethnic backgrounds: White Irish: 84.5%, Irish Travellers: 0.7%, Other White: 9.1% (total White: 94.3%), Asian: 1.9%, Black: 1.4%, Other: 0.9%, Not Stated: 1.6% (2011)

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Demographics_of_the_Republic_of_Ireland#Ethnic_groups

Kiitokset linkistä
ps Ryyppääminen kannattaa aina.

[no future]

Brittiläisen imperiumin (ja sittemmin Kansainyhteisön) laajuuden huomioon ottaen tämän ei nyt pitäisi olla hirveä uutinen kenellekään.

[Lahti-Saloranta]

Kuinkahan hyvin britit sopeutuvat tuohon etniseen monimuotoisuuteen. Siirtomaavallasta onkin tulossa siirtomaa.

[kyllästynyt]

Kommenttilaatikossa mielenkiintoisia "Best rated" kommentteja.

The thing that most annoys me is that I have never given my permission to do away with Britishness. It has been forced down our throats, like it or not. It's an absolutely disgusting and wicked state of affairs. Controlled immigration is good, uncontrolled immigration is a disaster. Hang your heads in utter shame you useless, incompetent politicians. Vote UKIP
- Traindriver39, Wigan, United Kingdom, 1/5/2013 14:43


Well done, Professor Coleman! Keep telling it like it is so that the politicians cannot hide behind the lies!
- Ed, London, 1/5/2013 14:43


I'm sure the English are delighted.
- Steve, Beverly Hills, United States, 1/5/2013 14:44


The big difference being that other ethnically diverse countries have a common identify. For example in the USA, no matter what the creed or colour, everyone considers themselves American. Over here, its very much an "us and them" situation...
- Nero, UK, 1/5/2013 15:41

And we never had the choice to vote for it
- scotty1, bristol, 1/5/2013 15:42


This is going to continue happening for as long as people keep on voting for Labour or, the LibDems or the Conservatives. None of the 3 main political parties will do anything to protect the UK's national identity. That's why so many people are turning to UKIP.
- Nabokov, Saint Petersburg, Russia, 1/5/2013 15:40


Melting pot Britain: How UK could overtake the United States as the West's most ethnically diverse nation by 2050 -------------------------------------------------------2050? I would have said 2015 !!
- Steve M, SE London, United Kingdom, 1/5/2013 15:38


Maybe I'm just old fashioned and I'm out of date. When I grew up in the 70's and 80's it was "Buy British" and "Bulldog Spirit" type of thing.....I was brought up to believe that National pride was a good thing and we should celebrate our individuality. It was a passionate affair watching England play Germany at football and lobbing the Argies off of the Falklands....seems like a wasted philosophy now. Maybe all this diversity is the way of the world but it feels a wee bit sad to this old English fella.
- Harry Monk, Horkland, 1/5/2013 14:51


What makes anyone think it will take until 2050?
- NotoEU., Tunbridge Wells, United Kingdom, 1/5/2013 17:39


If we don't get out of the EU, it can't be stopped. The 7 years is up Cameron and the flood is due in January. Brussels has ordered you to let them in and you will comply.
- Gordon Webster, Dundee, 1/5/2013 14:57


England is run by people who hate England and who hate the English even more. Too late to change this but we can stop the situation getting worse with a sane population policy. Only an English parliament will work in the English interest.
- Wyrdtimes, Just England, Greenland, 1/5/2013 2:41


Disgraceful. Absolutely disgraceful. What has happened to our once perfect country ? How have we allowed things to sink to such a low level ?
- Al Wayzewright, London, 1/5/2013 1:53


RIP the English race - it was good while it lasted
- tonyn, essex, 1/5/2013 4:56


The systematic decimation of the British people and our way of life continues at a breathtaking speed. Stand up before it is too late.
- Richard, Huddersfield, United Kingdom, 1/5/2013 2:31

[Cicero]

Sotaanhan tuo johtaa, jos kehitys jatkuu nykyisellään. Eikä verenvuodatuksen ennustaminen ole pirun maalaamista seinälle vaan realistinen arvio.

[Micke90]

Tuo tutkimushan valehtelee. Ruotsi on länsimaiden rikkain kulttuurimaa vuoteen 2050 mennessä. Eikä tuossa taulukossa edes ollut Ruotsia mukana, pelkkä Tanska vain. Törkeää tilastovääristelyä! 

Mikähän meillä mahtaa olla ei-valkoisten osuus vuonna 2050? 

[Tragedian synty]

Mikähän meillä mahtaa olla ei-valkoisten osuus vuonna 2050? 

0 %.

Siihen mennessä ovat romahtaneet jo kaikki, niin yhteiskunnat, talousjärjestelmät kuin luonnonvaroja törsäävät hedonistikulttuuritkin. Humanismi heitetään romukoppaan historian typerimpänä erehdyksenä, Suomeenkin perustetaan militaristinen kansallisvaltio ja kaikki epäilyttävän näköiset ja oloiset tyypit niitetään Maximilla.

Ikävä juttu. En haluaisi niin käyvän, mutta siksi minä pyrinkin pitämään muukalaiset täältä poissa, suojellakseni niin heitä kuin itseänikin.

[P]

Suvaitsevaisuus onkin kansakunnan viimeinen hyve.

Olikin se viimeinen "hyve". Taitaa tulevaisuudessa UK:ssa olla edessä libanonit. Pientä sisällisotaa ja väkivaltaa. Joo. Mahtoikohan kannattaa tehdä maailman historian nopeimpiin kuuluva väestönvaihdos.. Ihan älyvapaata toimintaa tämä monikulturismihurmos. Erona kommunismiin, joka oli edellinen vastaava huuhaa aate, on se, että tilannetta ei sitten saakaa enää päältä paskan iskiessä lopulliseste tuulettimeen. Se UK:n alquida ja etniset selkkaukset ovat siellä nyt pysyvätsi, eikä tilannetta enää voi peruttaa, kun huomataan, että eivätpä maahanmuuttajat kotiutuneet ja sopeutuneet - eivätkä halua jakaa "yhteisiä läntisiä arvoja" - kuten miesten ja naisten tasa-arvoa, uskonnonvapautta/ uskonnonperusteella tasa-arvoista kohtelua yms.

Taisi säpinä tulla pysyäkseen? No-go alueet vain laajenevat ja viimeiset valkonaamat/ mennyttä läntistä kulttuuria harjoittamaan pyrkivät piilottelevat aidatuissa reservaateissaan amerikan intiaanien tapaan. Joo, liian laaja maahanmootto liian nopeasti ei ole siunaukseksi alkuperäisväestölle. Intiaaneilta kysymällä olisi homma selvinnyt ilman pysyvää empiiristä kokeilua.

[Professori]

(http://i.dailymail.co.uk/i/pix/2013/05/01/article-0-1991D1DF000005DC-208_634x402.jpg)

Aika hämmentävän nopeaa tuo maahanmuuttajien lisääntyminen (Britanniassa). Ihmettelen vain tuota kuvaajan suoruutta. Kuviosta ekstrapoloimalla voisi päätellä ensimmäisen etnisen minoriteetin tai maahanmuuttajataustaisen saapuneen Britanniaan joskus 1980-luvun alkupuolella. Muistini mukaan (siis omin silmin Britanniassa havainnoiden) näin ei kuitenkaan ole, vaan suoraa käyrää edeltäneellä ajalla käyrän muoto on ollut jotain muuta kuin suora. Todennäköisesti se on ollut eksponentiaalisesti kasvava. Kysymys siis kuuluukin, että miksi ennusteessa on oletettu eksponentiaalisen kasvun päättyneen vuonna 2005 tai viimeistään vuonna 2010 ja jatkuneen/jatkuvan siitä eteenpäin lineaarisena?

[M.K.Korpela]

Aika hämmentävän nopeaa tuo maahanmuuttajien lisääntyminen (Britanniassa). Ihmettelen vain tuota kuvaajan suoruutta. Kuviosta ekstrapoloimalla voisi päätellä ensimmäisen etnisen minoriteetin tai maahanmuuttajataustaisen saapuneen Britanniaan joskus 1980-luvun alkupuolella. Muistini mukaan (siis omin silmin Britanniassa havainnoiden) näin ei kuitenkaan ole, vaan suoraa käyrää edeltäneellä ajalla käyrän muoto on ollut jotain muuta kuin suora. Todennäköisesti se on ollut eksponentiaalisesti kasvava. Kysymys siis kuuluukin, että miksi ennusteessa on oletettu eksponentiaalisen kasvun päättyneen vuonna 2005 tai viimeistään vuonna 2010 ja jatkuneen/jatkuvan siitä eteenpäin lineaarisena?

Todennäköisesti oletetaan maahanmuuttajaväestön syntyvyyden alenevan. Tämä ei muuten ole täysin ilman perusteita - sillä ehdolla että uskonto x:n kuuluvien joukko ei merkittävässä määrin saa uskonnolista herätystä.

[kriittinen_ajattelija]

The proportion of UK citizens from ethnic minority communities is expected to double in the next decades and will be between 20 and 30 percent by 2050, "radically changing the face of Britain," a new report says.

While the UK's White population "has remained roughly the same size" over the past 10 years, the ethnic minority population has almost doubled and now is at least 8 million people, or 14 percent of the UK population, says "A Portrait of Modern Britain," says a report released by Policy Exchange, a center-right research institute based in London.

The authors of the study took the UK's five largest distinct ethnic groups as an example, including Pakistani, Black African, Black Caribbean, Bangladeshi and Indian, with the latter the largest BME group in the UK.

"Black and Minority Ethnic (BME) communities now make up a significant and fast-growing part of the population," it adds.

According to the study, these groups accounted for 80 percent of the UK's population growth with Black Africans being the fastest growing group and White and Black Caribbean groups the slowest.

Meanwhile, the minorities represent mostly young groups of the population. According to the report, only 5 percent of the non-Whites are over 60 years old, while 25 percent of non-Whites are children under 5.

"The median age of BME communities ranges from 22 (Bangladeshis) to 38 (Black Caribbeans). The White median age is 39," the study says.

In 2016, the median age for the minorities "will be between 11 and 13 as compared to 40 for the White population," say the report's authors. "And according to the last Census, non-Whites already outnumber Whites in every age group in London up to 20."



The report also raises questions about the future of the English national identity as it reveals that ethnic minorities "are three times more likely than the White population to feel that 'being British' forms some part of their identity."

In 2011 only 14 percent of White population in the country saw themselves as "British" and 64 percent identified themselves as "English."

Meanwhile, at the same time at least 71 percent of Bangladeshis, 63 percent of Pakistanis and 55 percent of Black Caribbean considered themselves purely British.

"What is perhaps more surprising is that they identify with being specifically 'British' to a much greater extent than the White population, who self-identify largely with only the individual UK home nations (i.e. English, Scottish, Welsh or Northern Irish)," adds the research.

The ethnic groups mostly reside in big cities with London, Greater Birmingham and Greater Manchester accounting for at least a half of Britain's entire BME population.

"98 percent of BME residents live in urban areas, compared to 80 percent of White residents," the report says.

According to the authors of the report, ethnic minorities in the country "are more likely to have a religion, more likely to practice it regularly, and to feel it plays an important part in their life." While the majority of Black Caribbeans, Bangladeshis and Pakistanis attend religious services every week, only 10 percent of White British tend to have such a practice.



Also the 70 percent of the above mentioned ethnic communities say that religion plays a significant role in their lives, which is compared with only 14 percent of the White population.

Ethnic groups generally have higher unemployment rate than the White population with the highest percent of jobless Black Africans – at least 14.8 percent. The exception is the Indian minority group "which representatives cluster in the highest skilled professions," the study says.
(http://rt.com/files/news/26/55/40/00/0.jpg)
Pakistani and Bangladeshi experience specific difficulties in finding work. Twenty-four percent of Pakistani men are taxi drivers and 50 percent of Bangladeshi men work in restaurants while at least 39 percent of Pakistani women and 42 percent of Bangladeshi women have never worked.

The problems is that these ethnic minorities "either ... have a lower understanding of the employment market and the jobs available, or ... are unable to find jobs which suit the working hours they are willing to commit to," says the study, quoting research by the Runnymede Trust for the All-Party Parliamentary Group of Race and Community.

However, despite suffering from high unemployment , BME communities also have a bigger number of "students staying on in formal education at 16 and 18 than the White population," the report says.

At least 99 percent of second-generation ethnic minority groups who were born in the UK to immigrant parents have British citizenship, the research quotes Ethnic Minority British Election Study (EMBES) as saying. This is a high rate, compared to only 37 percent of representatives of the same group in the US and 83 percent in Canada.

The report also adds that ethnic minorities are more and more engaging in civic life similar to the White population. At least 68 percent of people from all ethnic minority groups vote for the Labour Party, while PM David Cameron's Conservative Party is popular only among 16 percent of the ethnic minorities.

"The face of Britain has changed... BME communities will continue to become an ever more significant part of Britain. There are clear and striking differences between communities and these differences should be understood by policymakers and politicians," the reports says.
(http://rt.com/files/news/26/55/40/00/34.jpg)

http://rt.com/news/157012-britain-ethnic-minorities-2050/
Afrikassa tuota työvoiman paikkaajaa tulee kyllä riittämään jos Arden laskelmat _ subsahara 5-10 miljardia asukasta vuoteen 2100 mennessä - toteutuu.

[hiltunen]

Jenkkilässä on mamutaustaisia n.99%, joten siihen on hieman matkaa.

[Nuivake]

Jenkkilässä on mamutaustaisia n.99%, joten siihen on hieman matkaa.

Ja alkuperäiskansat ovat siitä onnesta soikeina.

[DuPont]

Noh britit soti natsi-Saksaa vastaan joka olisi halunnut tehdä Briteistä 100% valkoisen osana jotain arjalaista herrakansaa, britit valitsi suvaitsevaisuuden ja oli valmiita sotimaan sen puolesta joten miksi he nyt valittaa siitä?

Parempi oli Pakistan.

[Ink Visitor]

Onko kellään tietoa siitä mikä tilanne Irlannissa on.