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Yleinen väestötiedeketju

Started by kriittinen_ajattelija, 25.01.2014, 13:51:55

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kriittinen_ajattelija

#690
QuoteAre We Born Racist? A New Israeli Study Has Some Surprising Answers

Which leads us to the subject of racism and discrimination, which is more than just a sorting of people into different groups. It's the idea that my group is better than the others, and the actions that derive from this thinking: discrimination in favor of members of my group and against the others. When does this begin?

"This, too, has been observed in very young children. They favor their in-group over the out-group. Take this experiment, for example: We divided 3- and 4-year-olds into two groups − the 'blue group' and the 'yellow group.' Each member of the blue group watched a computer screen where the image of another child appeared. Sometimes we said the child on the screen also belonged to the blue group, and sometimes that he was a member of the yellow group. We gave the child watching the screen stickers and told him he could share them with the children who appeared on screen however he liked. The girls distributed the stickers to all the children equally, regardless of what group they belonged to, but the boys gave more stickers to members of their in-group − the blues − than to the members of the out-group − the yellows.

"Later on, we told the children that some of the children on the screen like the stickers and some really don't like them, and then this happened: When the child on the screen belonged to the in-group, the boys and girls showed consideration for his preference: They gave a lot to the ones who liked stickers and only a few to the ones who didn't. When the child was from the out-group, the girls didn't take his preference into consideration − all were given the same number of stickers − while the boys discriminated much more strongly. If the child liked stickers they gave him just a few and if he didn't like them, they gave him a lot. Not only were they inconsiderate toward the members of the out-group, they were ready to give up their own stickers in order to provoke them or hurt them."

That's amazing, and it also says that girls are less "group-oriented" than boys.

"Yes, you could say that, and it's manifested in another interesting way, too. We told some of the children who took part in the study that the stickers they had belonged to the entire kindergarten, i.e., that they were a shared group resource. In these circumstances, the boys 'saved' them and didn't give many away to the child on the screen − i.e., they preserved the group resources, while the girls ignored the group and were generous with the stickers."
https://www.google.fi/amp/s/www.haaretz.com/amp/.premium-are-humans-born-racist-1.5274810

Quote.  Building on these ideas, in March, Melissa McDonald of Michigan State University in East Lansing and colleagues proposed what they called the "warrior male hypothesis," arguing that natural selection has shaped men's minds, more than women's, toward belonging to coalitions. They predict that men are more prejudiced than women, and some data show this.   
https://charterforcompassion.org/social-justice-compassion-reader/race-and-racism-compassion-reader/roots-of-racism

Quote.   Similar individuals are more likely to share copies of each other's genes and dissimilar individuals are less likely to. As a consequence, evolutionary theory predicts that organisms will often discriminate, because helping similar partners and harming dissimilar ones increase the fraction of the discriminating party's genes in future generations," says Dr. Krupp. 
https://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2015/04/150429104813.htm

Hypoteesini on, että mitä sukupuoli tasa-arvoisempi maa niin sitä antirasistisempi se on tai edes nationalistisempi.
Fear leads to anger. Anger leads to hate. Hate leads to suffering." - Master Yoda

Tavan

Naisten sisäsyntyinen epälojaalisuus omaa heimoa/kansaa kohtaan on yksi monista syistä, miksi läpi aikakausien ei ole katsottu viisaaksi antaa naisten osallistua politiikkaan.
This was my father's belief and this is also mine:
  Let the corn be all one sheaf--
And the grapes be all one vine,
  Ere our children's teeth are set on edge
By bitter bread and wine.

kriittinen_ajattelija

Quote.   Young Americans are having less sex than ever

(CNN)Young Americans are having less sex -- and they can't even blame the coronavirus pandemic for this one.

Sexual inactivity increased among young American men between 2000 and 2018, according to San Diego State University researchers who studied survey data from US adults. Postponement of adulthood and the growth of the internet and digital media could be reasons for why.

Psychologists analyzed data looking at sexual frequency and number of sexual partners, looking at responses supplied by more than 4,000 men and 5,000 women for each question.

Men who were unemployed, had part-time employment or lower incomes were more likely to be sexually inactive, psychologists found, noting that the percentage of sexually inactive 18- to 24 year-old men increased from 18.9% between 2000 and 2002 to 30.9% between 2016 and 2018.
Women aged 25 to 34 were also having less sex, researchers said in an investigation published Friday in the medical journal JAMA, pointing out that students were most likely to be affected.
The reasons for this downturn are complicated, researchers said.
 
https://edition.cnn.com/2020/06/12/health/young-americans-less-sex-intl-scli-wellness/index.html
Fear leads to anger. Anger leads to hate. Hate leads to suffering." - Master Yoda

kriittinen_ajattelija

Quote.  Global Baby Bust, 2020
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https://www.unz.com/akarlin/global-baby-bust-2020/#comments



Quote.   On a demographics note, lockdown really sent me down the Anabaptist birth rates hole.

1) Russian Mennonites (also known as Old Colony Mennonites), those of Dutch/Prussian origin who moved from Russia to Canada and finally to Latin America to escape modern life. Approximately 300k and TFR around 7. Unlike Amish, they do not lose 10% of each generation as no-one leaves the community to live with the Spanish-speaking Indians who live in bad conditions and dislike the Germans:
– https: //en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mennonites_in_Bolivia (increase from 70k in 2007 to 140k in 2020)
– https: //en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mennonites_in_Mexico (around 100k, maybe 30-40k moved to Canada in the last 10 years because of instability in Mexico. They still have Canadian citizenship from the 1920's)
– https: //en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mennonites_in_Paraguay around 50-60k
– https: //en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mennonites_in_Belize around 10-15k
– In Canada, their number is very difficult to understand, as the migratory process is not finished. But approx. 50k

2) Old Order Mennonites. Mennonites but closer to the Amish as they are both of Swiss/South German (Swabian) origin, also living in Pennsylvania. They are not close to the Russian Mennonites of Dutch / Prussian language and origin. (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Old_Order_Mennonite ). This group are around 60k-70k with total fertility rate of 5-6, a little less than Amish
– Hutterites ( https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hutterites ) with fertility rate of 5.0 but small population of 50k
– Amish outside of America. 5k in Canada and 5k across Latin America

It is difficult to count these groups, because they baptise at 18 and therefore population counts do not include children as Mennonites. Also living in wild regions and forests across Latin America. But in total, we are talking in 2020 about minimum 650k / maximum 800k ethnic Germans across the Americas with a TFR around 6

Based on similar population sizes with similar TFRs. This group will be having a little over 30k births per year, a figure which can double every 15-20 years. So potentially 100k births by 2055, the rough equivalent of Bavaria, so this is a serious community which helps ensure that on a global level, the number of Germanic peoples will not decrease heavily. Good for them, I guess!

The above list also does not include Mennonites in Kazkhstan (see their impact on the German birth rate https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kazakhstan_Germans#Demographics), over 4k births per year still. Nor the Mennonites moved from Kazkhstan to Germany – most settled in Lower Saxony along with other Volga Germans. No surprise it's the state with the highest TFR (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_German_states_by_fertility_rate)
Fear leads to anger. Anger leads to hate. Hate leads to suffering." - Master Yoda

kriittinen_ajattelija

Quote.   The Chinese government is taking draconian measures to slash birth rates among Uighurs and other minorities as part of a sweeping campaign to curb its Muslim population, even as it encourages some of the country's Han majority to have more children.

While individual women have spoken out before about forced birth control, the practice is far more widespread and systematic than previously known, according to an AP investigation based on government statistics, state documents and interviews with 30 ex-detainees, family members and a former detention camp instructor. The campaign over the past four years in the far west region of Xinjiang is leading to what some experts are calling a form of "demographic genocide."

The state regularly subjects minority women to pregnancy checks, and forces intrauterine devices, sterilization and even abortion on hundreds of thousands, the interviews and data show. Even while the use of IUDs and sterilization has fallen nationwide, it is rising sharply in Xinjiang.

The population control measures are backed by mass detention both as a threat and as a punishment for failure to comply. Having too many children is a major reason people are sent to detention camps, the AP found, with the parents of three or more ripped away from their families unless they can pay huge fines.

The birth control campaign is fueled by government worries that high birth rates among Muslims leads to poverty and extremism in Xinjiang, an arid, landlocked region that has struggled in recent years with knifings and bombings blamed on Islamic terrorists. Though the program adopts tactics from China's 'one child' policy, the campaign unfolding in Xinjiang differs in that it is ethnically targeted.

"The intention may not be to fully eliminate the Uighur population, but it will sharply diminish their vitality, making them easier to assimilate," said Darren Byler, an expert on Uighurs at the University of Colorado.
https://www.japantimes.co.jp/news/2020/06/29/asia-pacific/china-forced-birth-control-uighurs/
Fear leads to anger. Anger leads to hate. Hate leads to suffering." - Master Yoda

kriittinen_ajattelija

#695
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Fear leads to anger. Anger leads to hate. Hate leads to suffering." - Master Yoda

kriittinen_ajattelija

#696
Quote
My Great-Grandfather, the Nigerian Slave-Trader
My great-grandfather Nwaubani Ogogo Oriaku. Nwaubani Ogogo was a slave trader who gained power and wealth by selling other Africans across the Atlantic. "He was a renowned trader," my father told me proudly. "He dealt in palm produce and human beings."
--

Long before Europeans arrived, Igbos enslaved other Igbos as punishment for crimes, for the payment of debts, and as prisoners of war. The practice differed from slavery in the Americas: slaves were permitted to move freely in their communities and to own property, but they were also sometimes sacrificed in religious ceremonies or buried alive with their masters to serve them in the next life. When the transatlantic trade began, in the fifteenth century, the demand for slaves spiked. Igbo traders began kidnapping people from distant villages. Sometimes a family would sell off a disgraced relative, a practice that Ijoma Okoro, a professor of Igbo history at the University of Nigeria, Nsukka, likens to the shipping of British convicts to the penal colonies in Australia: "People would say, 'Let them go. I don't want to see them again.' " Between the fifteenth and nineteenth centuries, nearly one and a half million Igbo slaves were sent across the Middle Passage.

---
The British tried to end slavery among the Igbo in the early nineteen-hundreds, though the practice persisted into the nineteen-forties. In the early years of abolition, by British recommendation, masters adopted their freed slaves into their extended families.

---

The descendants of freed slaves in southern Nigeria, called ohu, still face significant stigma. Igbo culture forbids them from marrying freeborn people, and denies them traditional leadership

https://www.google.fi/amp/s/www.newyorker.com/culture/personal-history/my-great-grandfather-the-nigerian-slave-trader/amp   

Näin hypoteettisesti mustien suurta rikollisuutta Amerikoissa, voi osittain selittää sillä, että orjaksi päätyi paikallista roskasakkia ja rikollisia keskivertoa enemmän koko populaatioon nähden. Tosin, en usko, että erot oli kovin suuria ja Amerikkojen mustilla on tietenkin valkoista perimääkin jne
Fear leads to anger. Anger leads to hate. Hate leads to suffering." - Master Yoda

kriittinen_ajattelija

QuoteAmericans leave large cities for suburban areas and rural towns

A combination of the coronavirus pandemic, economic uncertainty, and social unrest is prompting waves of Americans to move from large cities and permanently relocate to more sparsely populated areas. The trend has been accelerated by technology and shifting attitudes that make it easier than ever to work remotely. Residents of all ages and incomes are moving in record numbers to suburban areas and small towns.

...

An estimated quarter of a million New York residents will move upstate for good, while another 2 million could permanently move out of the state. More than 16,000 New York residents have already relocated to suburban Connecticut. The preliminary figures show New York is also losing citizens to rural New England and Florida in significant numbers. Similar trends are happening in other large urban areas. There is a political element within the domestic migration at play across the nation, but what is more telling is the level of movement to suburban areas and rural towns.

Over 40 percent of urbanites have browsed online for real estate, more than twice the level of people who live in the country. Redfin reports that more than a quarter of searches on its website are by urbanites in Seattle, San Francisco, and the District of Columbia searching for homes across less populated places. While real estate sales are down in San Francisco, where prices are falling by more than 50 percent, demand in its suburbs has been soaring, where prices are rising by almost 10 percent.

There has been a sharp uptick in interest in moving out to Montana, with the majority of new inquiries coming from California. Real estate sales in Montana are 10 percent higher than at this time last year. Rural Colorado, Oregon, and Maine have seen similar upticks in property sales. Vermont is going through a renaissance in real estate, with an agent there remarking that "people are buying houses without even seeing them."

Some of the biggest changes are less obvious, yet even the hidden trends support the idea that cities are emptying out. In March and April, over 2 million young people moved back in with their parents or grandparents. If the allure of cities declines further due to the risk of disease, a sputtering economy, and a future of telework, the flight to suburban and rural safety will continue well after a coronavirus vaccine hits the market.

Social unrest and urban crime rate spikes also raise the possibility of a sharp increase of exits from large cities. A breakdown in order, especially if police are defunded, could further downsize cities rebuilt with law and order approaches. Urban trends of the last 50 years are being reversed. Instead of smaller towns and rural areas facing the steep declines, large metropolitan areas may soon be the places bleeding citizens.
https://thehill.com/opinion/finance/505944-americans-leave-large-cities-for-suburban-areas-and-rural-towns
Fear leads to anger. Anger leads to hate. Hate leads to suffering." - Master Yoda

Skeptikko

In Rare Move, France Releases Demographic Statistics Since 1968
https://www.breitbart.com/europe/2020/07/14/french-government-releases-statistics-showing-rapid-demographic-changes-since-1968/

QuoteFrance Stratégie, a group affiliated with the French Prime Minister's Office, has released data showing the growth in numbers of non-European migrant children in French urban areas. In one notable example, greater Paris saw a rise of 6.5 per cent in 1968 to 36.6 per cent in 2015.

The group released the figures in an interactive form on its website which shows a variety of factors, including the percentage of children from birth to 18 who are either foreign-born or have at least one non-European parent. The release is extraordinary as the French government does not normally publish — or even officially collect — much in the way of statistics that relate to race or demographics, in line with French law.

The website defines the category as a "person aged 0 to 18, immigrant of non-European origin or identified as a child in a household in which the reference person and/or his spouse is immigrant of non-European origin. If both parents are immigrants, the household reference persons are immigrants from outside Europe."
...
In some districts of Saint-Denis, in the heavily migrant populated department of Seine-Saint-Denis, the number of non-European migrant children is as high as 77 per cent. An area of Clichy-sous-Bois shows 83 per cent of children come from a non-European background in 2015.

Marseille, another French city with a historical migrant population, has gone from 12.6 per cent of children coming from non-European backgrounds in 1968 to 22.8 per cent on average in 2015. In an area of Marseille's 3rd arrondissement, the figure was as high as 70 per cent.

Perhaps the most dramatic change has taken place in Strasbourg, where, in 1968, just 1.9 per cent of children came from non-European origins in the city that is home to the European Parliament. By 2015, the number had increased to 32.9 per cent, or one in three.

Nantes has seen a similar rapid demographic shift from 0.9 per cent in 1968 to 15.8 per cent in 2015.

The figures do not take into account the large number of migrants who have arrived since the height of the migrant crisis in 2015. Some areas are also labelled as "statistical secret" with no data displayed.

Since 2015, France had had several years in a row of record-breaking numbers of asylum claims including an all-time record in 2019 of around 140,000 new asylum applications.

Some areas, such as the notorious Seine-Saint-Denis, are said to be home to hundreds of thousands of illegal immigrants. A 2018 report claimed between eight to 20 per cent of the population of the department are illegals.
...
Other countries, such as Germany, have also seen radical demographic shifts in recent decades. A report from last year revealed that a quarter of Germans now came from some sort of migrant background.
En homona toivota tervetulleiksi Suomeen henkilöitä, jotka haluavat tappaa minut:
http://www.bbc.com/news/magazine-33565055

Tanskan pakolaisapu: hallitsematon tulijatulva johtamassa armageddoniin ja yhteiskuntamme tuhoon:
http://jyllands-posten.dk/international/europa/ECE7963933/Sammenbrud-truer-flygtningesystem/

DuPont

Kaupungit (suuret ainakin) etnistyvät kovin. Pikkukaupungit ja maaseutu eivät niinkään.
EUroopassa kantaväestöä siirtyy ulos kaupungeista. Sinänsä samaa ilmiötä kuin USA:n whiteflight. Ei ole tervettä kehitystä, tuo johtaa konfliktiin, vähintäänkin vastakkainasetteluun.
Ei ole Suomessa pääkaupunkiseutukaan irrallaan tuosta kehityksestä (=rappiosta?).

kriittinen_ajattelija

#700
Quote from: DuPont on 15.07.2020, 02:48:42
Kaupungit (suuret ainakin) etnistyvät kovin. Pikkukaupungit ja maaseutu eivät niinkään.
EUroopassa kantaväestöä siirtyy ulos kaupungeista. Sinänsä samaa ilmiötä kuin USA:n whiteflight. Ei ole tervettä kehitystä, tuo johtaa konfliktiin, vähintäänkin vastakkainasetteluun.
Ei ole Suomessa pääkaupunkiseutukaan irrallaan tuosta kehityksestä (=rappiosta?).
USA:ssa on mielenkiintoista kehitystä menossa väestöllisessä mielessä.

1.Meksikon rajan lähellä olevat 4-6 osavaltiota on muuttumassa osaksi Meksikoa vähitellen. Nuo osavaltiot kuului myös historiallisesti Meksikolle, ja meksikolaiset pitää niitä omanaan. Monet kaupungit on jo meksikolais-enemmistöisiä jossa puhutaan lähinnä Espanjaa. Tämä tulee johtamaan vastakkainasetteluun väistämättä.
2. Monet miljoonakaupungit noitten ulkopuolella taas tulee olemaan musta-enemmistöisiä (toki latinoilla vahvistettuna) Valkoiset muuttaa kaukaisiin nukkuma-lähiöihin ja käy keskustassa vaan pakon sanelemana. Detroit tulee olemaan malli muille kaupungeille. Valkoiset asuu Detroitin nukkumalähiöissä ja mustat itse kaupungissa.
3. Jotkut ääriuskonnolliset liikkeet lisää jännitteiden kasvua myös. Esim ultra ortdoksi juutalaiset tulee muuttamaan nykyisellä syntyvyydellä New Yorkin Jew Yorkiksi - ja nåmäkään ultra-ortodoksit tuski on kovin lojaaleja tai edes ystävällisiä muita kuin omilleen. Mormonit dominoi Utahissa, ja amissit ja mennoniitit maaseudulla.

Divided states of america.
Fear leads to anger. Anger leads to hate. Hate leads to suffering." - Master Yoda

Jaska Pankkaaja

Quote from: kriittinen_ajattelija on 04.07.2020, 17:22:47
Quote
Näin hypoteettisesti mustien suurta rikollisuutta Amerikoissa, voi osittain selittää sillä, että orjaksi päätyi paikallista roskasakkia ja rikollisia keskivertoa enemmän koko populaatioon nähden. Tosin, en usko, että erot oli kovin suuria ja Amerikkojen mustilla on tietenkin valkoista perimääkin jne
Tämä hypoteesi ei ole oikein uskottava koska ka(a/u)patut Neekerit eivät olleet varmaankaan syyllistyneet mihinkään muuhun kuin olemaan toista neekeriheimoa kuin kaappaajat tai vaan niitä jotka arabit saivat kiinni.

Silloin kun näistä Neeker1 asioista sai keskustella jopa valtamediassa niin jo silloin todettiin että esim. Karibian Neekerien loistava menestys urheilussa on suurimmaksi osaksi valikoituneiden geenien ansiota: vain vahvemmat selvisivät, luultavasti etupäässä myös vahvimmat selvinneet pääsivät pukille siellä perillä. Oletan että USAn tapauksessa on paljolti samoja piirteitä.

Those who make peaceful revolution impossible, make violent revolution inevitable. J.F Kennedy

Hiilivety

Väkimäärä on yksi suurimmista ongelmista maapallolla, nimittäin se saattaa piankin saavuttaa huippunsa ja kääntyä laskuun. Alenevan syntyvyyden takia laskevaa väkimäärää on vaikea kääntää nousuun, koska jatkossa on yhä vähemmän synnytysiässä olevia ihmisiä. Ikärakenteen muutos iheuttaa suuria haasteita yhteikunnille. Kun vanhoja ihmisiä on aina vain enemmän ja nuoria vähemmän, kaikenlainen tuottavuus ja innovatiivisuus vähenee.

Lancet-tutkimuksen mukaan maapallon väkuluku saavuttaisi huippunsa vuonna 2064, jolloin väkimäärä olisi 9,7 miljardia. Sen jälkeen seuraisi pysyväisluontoinen lasku niin että vuonna 2100 väkimäärä olisi 8,8 miljardia, eli pari miljardia vähemmän kuin YK:n ennusteessa. Toisessa Lancetin skenaariossa huippu olisin jo vuonna 2046, eli silloin useimmat meistä ehtisivät nähdä sen.

Tähän tutkimukseen ei ole vielä vaikuttanut edes koronapandemia, joko jo nykyisellä 5000 ihmisen päivittäisellä kuolemalla leikkaa pari prosenttia väestönkasvusta, puhumattakaan siitä kuinka jatkossa syntyvyys tulee alenemaan kun monet parit luopuvat lapsisuunnitelmistaan epävarmojen aikojen takia.

https://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(20)30677-2/fulltext

QuoteFindings

The global TFR in the reference scenario was forecasted to be 1·66 (95% UI 1·33–2·08) in 2100. In the reference scenario, the global population was projected to peak in 2064 at 9·73 billion (8·84–10·9) people and decline to 8·79 billion (6·83–11·8) in 2100. The reference projections for the five largest countries in 2100 were India (1·09 billion [0·72–1·71], Nigeria (791 million [594–1056]), China (732 million [456–1499]), the USA (336 million [248–456]), and Pakistan (248 million [151–427]). Findings also suggest a shifting age structure in many parts of the world, with 2·37 billion (1·91–2·87) individuals older than 65 years and 1·70 billion (1·11–2·81) individuals younger than 20 years, forecasted globally in 2100. By 2050, 151 countries were forecasted to have a TFR lower than the replacement level (TFR <2·1), and 183 were forecasted to have a TFR lower than replacement by 2100. 23 countries in the reference scenario, including Japan, Thailand, and Spain, were forecasted to have population declines greater than 50% from 2017 to 2100; China's population was forecasted to decline by 48·0% (−6·1 to 68·4). China was forecasted to become the largest economy by 2035 but in the reference scenario, the USA was forecasted to once again become the largest economy in 2098. Our alternative scenarios suggest that meeting the Sustainable Development Goals targets for education and contraceptive met need would result in a global population of 6·29 billion (4·82–8·73) in 2100 and a population of 6·88 billion (5·27–9·51) when assuming 99th percentile rates of change in these drivers.

QuoteDiscussion
...
Although good for the environment, population decline and associated shifts in age structure in many nations might have other profound and often negative consequences. In 23 countries, including Japan, Thailand, Spain, and Ukraine, populations are expected to decline by 50% or more. Another 34 countries will probably decline by 25–50%, including China, with a forecasted 48·0% decline (95% UI −6·1% to 68·4%). Population percentage declines do not immediately convey the associated profound shifts in age structure in these nations. Our findings suggest that the ratio of the population older than 80 years to the population younger than 15 years will increase in countries with more than 25% population decline, from 0·16 today to 1·50 (0·54–3·25) in 2100. These population shifts have economic and fiscal consequences that will be extremely challenging. With all other things being equal, the decline in the numbers of working-aged adults alone will reduce GDP growth rates. The forecasts in the paper by Chang and colleagues of productivity per working-aged adult that we have used assume that past trends in productivity will continue.
35
Having fewer individuals between the ages of 15 and 64 years might, however, have larger effects on GDP growth than what we have captured here. For example, having fewer individuals in these age groups might reduce innovation in economies, and fewer workers in general might reduce domestic markets for consumer goods, because many retirees are less likely to purchase consumer durables than middle aged and young adults.
17
Developments such as advancements in robotics could substantially change the trajectory of GDP per working-age adult, reducing the effect of the age structure on GDP growth. However, these effects are very difficult to model at this stage. Furthermore, the impact of robotics might have complex effects on countries for which the trajectory for economic growth might be through low-cost labour supply.
"...voimme jatkaa eteenpäin merkittävistä yhteisistä saavutuksista huolimatta." ~ Brandis

kriittinen_ajattelija

Quote. Väkimäärä on yksi suurimmista ongelmista maapallolla, nimittäin se saattaa piankin saavuttaa huippunsa ja kääntyä laskuun. Alenevan syntyvyyden takia laskevaa väkimäärää on vaikea kääntää nousuun, koska jatkossa on yhä vähemmän synnytysiässä olevia ihmisiä. Ikärakenteen muutos iheuttaa suuria haasteita yhteikunnille. Kun vanhoja ihmisiä on aina vain enemmän ja nuoria vähemmän, kaikenlainen tuottavuus ja innovatiivisuus vähenee.   
Niino tuo olettamus perustuu siihen, että tiede ja kehitys pysyisi paikallaan.

Todellisuudessa tiede kehittyy kovaa vauhtia ja transhumanismi valtaa alaa.

3 pointtia.
1. Kuka tietää kuinka vanhaksi eletään 100v päästä koska tiede kehittyy.
2. Robotit ym automisaatio tekee hyvin todnäköisesti suurimman osan töistä joten suuri väkimäärä ei vaikuta juurikaan maan tuottavuuteen - 1 korkean IQ:n ihminen on merkityksellisempi maalle kuin 10 miljoonaa tavista.
3. En usko, että 50v päästä ylipäätänsä enää naiset synnyttää edes vaan lapset luodaan aluille labroissa ja kasvatetaan kasvattomoissa. Sen avulla valtiot voi itse säädellä väkulukuaan ja tulevien lasten laatua. Tämä tosin koskee vain kehittyneitä maita.
Fear leads to anger. Anger leads to hate. Hate leads to suffering." - Master Yoda

foobar

Quote from: kriittinen_ajattelija on 04.07.2020, 01:10:55
Quote.   The Chinese government is taking draconian measures to slash birth rates among Uighurs and other minorities as part of a sweeping campaign to curb its Muslim population, even as it encourages some of the country's Han majority to have more children.

While individual women have spoken out before about forced birth control, the practice is far more widespread and systematic than previously known, according to an AP investigation based on government statistics, state documents and interviews with 30 ex-detainees, family members and a former detention camp instructor. The campaign over the past four years in the far west region of Xinjiang is leading to what some experts are calling a form of "demographic genocide."

The state regularly subjects minority women to pregnancy checks, and forces intrauterine devices, sterilization and even abortion on hundreds of thousands, the interviews and data show. Even while the use of IUDs and sterilization has fallen nationwide, it is rising sharply in Xinjiang.

The population control measures are backed by mass detention both as a threat and as a punishment for failure to comply. Having too many children is a major reason people are sent to detention camps, the AP found, with the parents of three or more ripped away from their families unless they can pay huge fines.

The birth control campaign is fueled by government worries that high birth rates among Muslims leads to poverty and extremism in Xinjiang, an arid, landlocked region that has struggled in recent years with knifings and bombings blamed on Islamic terrorists. Though the program adopts tactics from China's 'one child' policy, the campaign unfolding in Xinjiang differs in that it is ethnically targeted.

"The intention may not be to fully eliminate the Uighur population, but it will sharply diminish their vitality, making them easier to assimilate," said Darren Byler, an expert on Uighurs at the University of Colorado.
https://www.japantimes.co.jp/news/2020/06/29/asia-pacific/china-forced-birth-control-uighurs/

Tässä yhteydessä voisi mainita että sikäli kuin olen asian käsittänyt oikein, ei Kiinan virallista yhden lapsen politiikkaa koskaan varsinaisesti sovellettu kuin suurimpiin, kehittyneisiin väestöryhmiin (eli määrällisesti lähinnä Han-kiinalaisiin). Lähinnä maataloudesta elävien vähemmistöjen kohdalla katsottiin että yhden lapsen politiikka olisi ollut liian hankala pärjäämisen kannalta...
"Voi sen sanoa, paitsi ettei oikein voi, koska sillä antaa samalla avoimen valtakirjan EU:ssa tapahtuvalle mielivallalle."
- ApuaHommmaan siitä, voiko sanoa Venäjän tekevän Ukrainassa siviilien kidutusmurhia ja voiko ne tuomita.

justustr

#705
Quote from: kriittinen_ajattelija on 17.07.2020, 12:55:31
Quote. Väkimäärä on yksi suurimmista ongelmista maapallolla, nimittäin se saattaa piankin saavuttaa huippunsa ja kääntyä laskuun. Alenevan syntyvyyden takia laskevaa väkimäärää on vaikea kääntää nousuun, koska jatkossa on yhä vähemmän synnytysiässä olevia ihmisiä. Ikärakenteen muutos iheuttaa suuria haasteita yhteikunnille. Kun vanhoja ihmisiä on aina vain enemmän ja nuoria vähemmän, kaikenlainen tuottavuus ja innovatiivisuus vähenee.   
Niino tuo olettamus perustuu siihen, että tiede ja kehitys pysyisi paikallaan.

Todellisuudessa tiede kehittyy kovaa vauhtia ja transhumanismi valtaa alaa.

3 pointtia.
1. Kuka tietää kuinka vanhaksi eletään 100v päästä koska tiede kehittyy.
2. Robotit ym automisaatio tekee hyvin todnäköisesti suurimman osan töistä joten suuri väkimäärä ei vaikuta juurikaan maan tuottavuuteen - 1 korkean IQ:n ihminen on merkityksellisempi maalle kuin 10 miljoonaa tavista.

Juuri näin. Tuottavuus kasvaa niin huimaa vauhtia, että ihmisten määrä jää taustalle ja merkitseväksi nousee laatu. Jo nykyään ollaan tilanteessa, jossa yksi huippuyksilö korvaa tuhansia taviksia ja mitä pidemmälle automaatio ja robotisaatio etenee sitä enemmän tämä korostuu.

Esimerkiksi Yhdysvaltojen vauraus perustuu pitkälti siihen, että maahan on keskittynyt kaikki maailman huippututkimus ja -innovaatot eli älyltään ylivertaiset yksilöt. Google, Facebook, Twitter, Apple, Oracle jne. tyylisten mammuttien perustaminen edellyttää yksilöitä, joiden tuottavuutta ei voi enää oikein millään mittarilla verrata taviksiin. Nimittäin mikään määrä taviksia ei kykene samaan kuin Mark Zuckerberg.

Tässä on muuten syy sille miksi itse en usko hetkeäkään, että esimerkiksi Japani olisi minkäänlaisissa ongelmissa mukamas epäedullisen väestöpyramidinsa kanssa. Se, että ahtaasti asutussa mnaassa jengi vähenee on pitkällä aikavälillä vain hyvä asia. Ainoa todellinen haaste mikä Japanilla on edessään, on varmistaa että vähenevästä joukosta edelleen löytyy ne huippuyksilöt, joiden avulla maa pysyy teknologisessa kehityksessä mukana. Toisaalta tämäkin ongelma saattaa ratketa ihan itsestään. Jos Japani säilyy puhtaana ja turvallisena ja rajakontrolli äärimmäisen tiukkana, kun samaan aikaan kun monet kilpailijamaat lännessä muuttuu paskasstanioiksi, niin näitä yksilöitä on ulkoa tulossa jonoksi asti ja Japani voi itse valita niistä ne jotka aidosti maata hyödyttää.

Tuonkaltaista kehitystä itse toivoisin Suomeenkin. Kaukana ollaan, mutta unelmista ei ole syytä luopua helpolla.


DuPont

Lievä väestönväheneminen ei ole ongelma Japanille tai Kiinalle. Ei muuten meillekään.

foobar

Quote from: DuPont on 19.07.2020, 02:06:46
Lievä väestönväheneminen ei ole ongelma Japanille tai Kiinalle. Ei muuten meillekään.

Väestön väheneminen ei varsinaisesti ole se ongelma, ongelma on huoltosuhde. Kiinakin luopui yhden lapsen politiikastaan Han-kiinalaisten osalta pääasiassa eläkeläisten suhteellisen määrän nousun takia. Siellä toki valtion kuormitus on suhteellisesti pienempää, mutta samat kustannukset kaatuvat helposti jälkikasvun niskaan ja jos perheet ovat olleet yksilapsisia se voi olla aika iso ongelma.
"Voi sen sanoa, paitsi ettei oikein voi, koska sillä antaa samalla avoimen valtakirjan EU:ssa tapahtuvalle mielivallalle."
- ApuaHommmaan siitä, voiko sanoa Venäjän tekevän Ukrainassa siviilien kidutusmurhia ja voiko ne tuomita.

kriittinen_ajattelija

QuoteXi Wants Chinese Students Back in the Countryside

China's cabinet, the State Council, and the powerful Central Committee quietly announced joint guidelines on March 26 to improve China's "labor education." Once referred to as the "biggest shortcoming" in China's education system by a top official, the measures look to reverse declining physical activity among Chinese youth while instilling "the Marxist view of labor." "Over the years, some youth have become less appreciative, less willing, and less able to perform manual labor," the document states.


The newly released rules call for more manual labor activities in curriculums across academia to inculcate students with a "hard-working spirit." Schools from the elementary to the university level must provide mandatory labor classes, including vague activities that "work up a sweat" and household chores like doing laundry. While the policy is short on specific activities, it hints that students will do work at companies, farms, and factories.

-
Xi's labor campaign to toughen Chinese students reflects the government's deep-seated fear over the country's perceived physically and mentally weak youth—particularly fear of a countrywide decline in masculinity. These worries have only been exacerbated in recent years with the rise in popularity of effeminate Chinese celebrities (or "sissies" as one editorial by the state-run Xinhua news agency wrote) and the realization that China's one-child policy abetted a generation of needy boys devoid of self-reliance. Pockets of state media have depicted masculinity's decline as a national "crisis" that runs antithetical to the country's strongman image embodied by Xi.
https://foreignpolicy.com/2020/07/22/xi-china-labor-education-marxism-mao/?fbclid=IwAR1FJ9TXoiFiBNrvpe8U4EXL3HScAkv9t8eWdNf0jncdxlIVVmpYnUVyRlo
Fear leads to anger. Anger leads to hate. Hate leads to suffering." - Master Yoda

kriittinen_ajattelija

#709
QuoteRegional and racial differences   

In some states in the North and Northeast, the fertility rate was higher than the national average in 2015. The highest rate was in Acre, with 2.35 children per woman. Other regions with high fertility include Amapá, with 2.28 children per woman, Amazonas, 2.25 in Roraima, 2.22, in Maranhão, 2.17, and Pará, 2.13.

On the other hand, São Paulo is the state with the lowest rate, 1.38 children per woman. Other states with low fertility include Santa Catarina, with 1.45, Rio Grande do Sul, 1.50, in Rio de Janeiro, 1.55 in Paraná and Minas Gerais, 1.59.

Regarding race of mothers, between 2001 and 2015, the fertility rate of all racial groups fell below replacement rate. Black fertility fell from 2.75 to 1.88, Pardo/Mixed fertility fell from 2.65 to 1.96 and white fertility fell from 2.10 to 1.69. There was no information regarding Asian fertility rates. Indigenous fertility was calculated at 3.87 children per women in 2010.[16]

Childlessness and education   Edit
The color or race of the woman and the level of education has also shown to influence the fact of not having children. In 2013, among European women aged 15 to 49 years, 41.5% had no children, while among African women, the percentage was 35.8%.

The proportional difference is even greater among European women compared to African 25–29 years. While the proportion among European women childless was 48.1% among African women was 33.8%.

Regarding education, among women 15–49 years of age with more than eight years of schooling, 44.2% had no children in 2013, while among those with up to seven years of study this figure was 21.6%.
Quote2015 autosomal genetic study, which also analysed data of 25 studies of 38 different Brazilian populations concluded that: European ancestry accounts for 62% of the heritage of the population, followed by the African (21%) and the Native American (17%). The European contribution is highest in Southern Brazil (77%), the African highest in Northeast Brazil (27%) and the Native American is the highest in Northern Brazil (32%).[75]

Region[75]
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Demographics_of_Brazil

QuoteApproaching the third decade of the 21st century, Brazil continues to be a center of global migration. In 2017, nearly 736,000 registered immigrants lived in Brazil, while many hundreds of thousands more were in the country without formal documentation. Portuguese are the largest immigrant population, followed far behind by those from Japan, Italy, Paraguay, and Bolivia (see Table 2). In recent years, Koreans, Angolans, Paraguayans, and Nigerians have been entering in growing numbers.

Over the past decade, humanitarian migration has returned as an important issue in Brazil, just as it had been during the World War II era. Following the 2010 earthquake in Haiti, Brazil granted humanitarian visas and permanent residency to roughly 98,000 Haitians, though some 30,000 have reportedly since relocated due in part to Brazil's economic recession. In December 2014, 28 Latin American countries and three territories adopted the Brazil Declaration and Plan of Action to maintain high standards of protection and create innovative solutions, such as new visa categories, for refugees and displaced persons. These policies were designed to accommodate the growth of those in need of protection, which in Brazil nearly doubled between 2015 and 2016, from roughly 36,000 to 68,000. In 2016, Brazil received more than 10,000 new asylum claims, nearly 7,000 of which were from Venezuelans followed by smaller numbers of Cubans, Angolans, Haitians, and Syria
https://www.migrationpolicy.org/article/migration-brazil-making-multicultural-society
Eurooppalaisia oli koko väestöstä: 48% mutta 0-14 vuotiaista 44,5%, afrikkalaisia oli koko väestöstä 7,61% mutta 0-14 vuotiaista 5,88%, pardo eli sekarotuisia oli koko väestöstä 43% mutta 0-14v 48%, ja native intiaaneja koko väestöstä 0,43% mutta 0-14v - 0,64%

Yleisesti vaikuttaa siltä, että Brasiliassa sekä nööperi että eurooppalainen perimä vähenee, eurooppalainen perimä ehkä hieman mustaa perimää enemmän ja kaikkein eniten kasvaa native American perimä. Puhdasverisiä inkkareita on tietenkin varsin vähän mutta noissa osavaltioissa missä on korkein syntyvyys on, mestizo enemmistöinen väestö. Lisäksi maahan virtaa laittomasti paljon bolivialaisia intiaaneja tai mestizoja.

Brasiliaan toki virtaa jonkin verran nööpereitä sekä mestizoja muistakin maista, mikä voi vaikuttaa perimään.
Fear leads to anger. Anger leads to hate. Hate leads to suffering." - Master Yoda

-PPT-

Voisi kuvitella että Brasiliassa olisi joitakin parempia alueita jotka pärjäisivät paljon paremmin omina valtioinaan kuin olemalla osa monoliittista kaaosta Brasilian osana.

Jos haluaa nähdä USAn tulevaisuuden niin se on suunnilleen mitä Brasilia on nyt. Erotuksena tietenkin valtava ydinasearsenaali.

kriittinen_ajattelija

#711
Quote.   new DNA study published Thursday sheds fresh light on the horrors of the transatlantic slave trade, from the legacy of rape that can be seen in today's genetics to how disease likely decimated some groups forced to work in deadly conditions.
-
It cross-referenced these with detailed records from slave ships that transported 12.5 million men, women and children between 1515 and 1865. Some two million died on the journey.

-
Disturbingly, the research team found that practices intended to 'dilute' black heritage, through policies that encouraged white men to have children with black women had a marked effect on the genetics of black Americans today.
-

Government and slave-owner practices had an enormous impact on African genetics too.

Despite the fact that more than 60 percent of enslaved people brought to the Americas were men, comparisons of genetics reveal a strong bias toward African female contributions in the modern gene pool of African heritage people across the region.

Much of this can be attributed to the rape of enslaved African women by white men, and other forms of sexual exploitation, like the promise of freedom if they birthed enough children.

But the imbalance is even more pronounced in Latin America, where 70 percent of the slaves who survived the ship voyages disembarked, compared to the United States, the new study showed.

In the US, slave-owners promoted marriages among slaves to ensure their children would form the next generation of the forced labor pool.

The existence of these practices was fairly well established in historical documents, but genetics add a layer of proof to their existence and consequences.

{snip}

In countries like Brazil and Cuba, though, the governments implemented immigration policies in the 1900s, which involved women with African ancestry marrying whites.

These whitening or 'branqueamento' policies were instigated with the goal of altering the lineages of black people toward a supposed ideal of whiteness.

'We have some regions that are essentially showing 17 African females reproducing for every one African male. We never expected the ratio to be that high,' said Micheletti.

More men were enslaved than women, but the people who reproduced were overwhelmingly female.

In the British-colonized Americas, the ratio is closer to 1.5 or two African women for every African man contributing to the gene pool.

The researchers also found evidence of frequent mixing between enslaved indigenous people with enslaved Africans in Latin America, something which previous work has shown to be the case in the US.
 
https://www.amren.com/news/2020/07/dna-study-reveals-how-the-slave-trade-shaped-the-modern-day-genetics-of-black-people-in-america/

Niin latino valloittajilla oli kuulemma tyypillistä, että yhdellä miehellä oli se 10 "vaimoa"
Fear leads to anger. Anger leads to hate. Hate leads to suffering." - Master Yoda

kriittinen_ajattelija

Fear leads to anger. Anger leads to hate. Hate leads to suffering." - Master Yoda

Radio

Miten määritellään Black Population. No siihen joukkoon ei ilmeisesti kuulu valkoinen eurooppalaisperäinen henkilö. Geeneistä voidaan määritellä yksilön alkuperää aina Neanderithalin esi-isään asti.
Johonkin joukkoon jäseneksi pääsemisestä pitäisi joukon saada päättää. Tai ainakin niiden joukon jäsenten, joiden työpanoksesta osa  käytettäisiin tuiijoiden ylläpitoon.
Vertailtakoon myös valkoisten ja värillisen joukkojen toimivia valtioita.

-PPT-

On todellakin epämääräinen tilasto. Afrikkalaisten lisäksi mustia ihmisiä ovat esim haitilaiset tai ja aikalaiset mutta Mitenkäs on esim pakistsnilsiset, intialaiset. Etelä-Amerikassa on myös paljon rajatapauksia.

Vanhentunutta tietoakin. Suomessa on pelkästään somaleja 0.5% ja heidän lisäkseen on muutakin mustaa porukkaa.


kriittinen_ajattelija

USA on mielestäni vähän samankaltaisessa tilassa kun Neuvostoliitto viimeisinä vuosinaan. Ihmiset ei enää usko Amerikkaan, samalla tavalla kun kukaan ei uskonut enää Neuvostoliittoon. Suurvallat kaatuu yleensä sisältäpäin, eikä ulkoa.

-Monissa suurkaupungeissa siellä jos tänä päivänä kävelisit USA:n lippua heiluttaen ja maan presidentin lippis päässä, niin saisit turpaan satavarmasti, ehkä pääsisit hengestäsi huonommalla alueella. Samoissa kaupungeissa sensijaan USA:n lipun polttaminen on ihan ok. Myös maan perustajien patsaat kaadetaan tai töhritään.

-Suurin osa suurkaupungeista on muuttumassa asuinkelvottomiksi ghetoiksi, missä saa väistellä vähemmistöjengien luoteja tai kauppojen loottausta. Siihen päälle vielä loputtomat vuoret kodittomia ja narkkeja kaikista etnisyyksistä.

-Maan päihdeongelma on täysin räjähtänyt käsiin. Joka 7 nuori aikuinen on jo narkki siellä. Opioidi-epidemia, meta-epidemia. Vastaavat luvut vaikka Itä-Aasiassa on vain murto-osa noista luvuista.
Quote.   About 5.1 million young adults age 18 to 25 battled a substance use disorder in 2017, which equates to 14.8% of this population and about 1 in 7 people.1

-Maa on ryssinyt täysin koronaepidemia, luoja tietää kuinka moni siellä tulee kuolemaan siihen tai menettämään terveytensä loppuiäksi. Jopa kehitysmaat on toiminut paremmin, eikä tämä ole edes republikaanien vika, demokraatit ei ole sen parempia.

Kiina ja muut maat on jo ohittanut jenkit kauan sitten kaikilla standardeilla paitsi geopoliittisesti/armeija mielessä. Mutta sekin kyllä muuttuu vielä...
Fear leads to anger. Anger leads to hate. Hate leads to suffering." - Master Yoda

no future

Quote from: kriittinen_ajattelija on 30.07.2020, 13:25:45
USA on mielestäni vähän samankaltaisessa tilassa kun Neuvostoliitto viimeisinä vuosinaan. Ihmiset ei enää usko Amerikkaan, samalla tavalla kun kukaan ei uskonut enää Neuvostoliittoon. Suurvallat kaatuu yleensä sisältäpäin, eikä ulkoa.

-Monissa suurkaupungeissa siellä jos tänä päivänä kävelisit USA:n lippua heiluttaen ja maan presidentin lippis päässä, niin saisit turpaan satavarmasti, ehkä pääsisit hengestäsi huonommalla alueella. Samoissa kaupungeissa sensijaan USA:n lipun polttaminen on ihan ok. Myös maan perustajien patsaat kaadetaan tai töhritään.

-Suurin osa suurkaupungeista on muuttumassa asuinkelvottomiksi ghetoiksi, missä saa väistellä vähemmistöjengien luoteja tai kauppojen loottausta. Siihen päälle vielä loputtomat vuoret kodittomia ja narkkeja kaikista etnisyyksistä.

-Maan päihdeongelma on täysin räjähtänyt käsiin. Joka 7 nuori aikuinen on jo narkki siellä. Opioidi-epidemia, meta-epidemia. Vastaavat luvut vaikka Itä-Aasiassa on vain murto-osa noista luvuista.
Quote.   About 5.1 million young adults age 18 to 25 battled a substance use disorder in 2017, which equates to 14.8% of this population and about 1 in 7 people.1

-Maa on ryssinyt täysin koronaepidemia, luoja tietää kuinka moni siellä tulee kuolemaan siihen tai menettämään terveytensä loppuiäksi. Jopa kehitysmaat on toiminut paremmin, eikä tämä ole edes republikaanien vika, demokraatit ei ole sen parempia.

Kiina ja muut maat on jo ohittanut jenkit kauan sitten kaikilla standardeilla paitsi geopoliittisesti/armeija mielessä. Mutta sekin kyllä muuttuu vielä...
Muuten meni hyvin, mutta tuo "substance use disorder" tarkoittaa kaikkia päihdeongelmaisia, mukaanlukien alkoholi.

Samassa tilastossa lukee heti lainaamasi kohdan alla, että

QuoteAbout 3.4 million young adults age 18 to 25 had an alcohol use disorder in 2017, or about 10% of young adults.1

About 2.5 million young adults had an illicit drug use disorder in 2017, or about 7.3% of this population.

https://americanaddictioncenters.org/rehab-guide/addiction-statistics

Nikolas

Quote from: Hiilivety on 17.07.2020, 08:23:25

Väkimäärä on yksi suurimmista ongelmista maapallolla, nimittäin se saattaa piankin saavuttaa huippunsa ja kääntyä laskuun. Alenevan syntyvyyden takia laskevaa väkimäärää on vaikea kääntää nousuun, koska jatkossa on yhä vähemmän synnytysiässä olevia ihmisiä.


Suomen osalta lapsettomuuden syyt on palasteltu, eritelty ja analysoitu.

Lähinnä poliittista tahtoa tarvittaisiin, sillä tehokkaitakin ratkaisuja ongelmaan löytyy, jos niitä vain haluttaisiin käyttää.

kriittinen_ajattelija

#718
Quote from: no future on 31.07.2020, 00:24:13
Quote from: kriittinen_ajattelija on 30.07.2020, 13:25:45
USA on mielestäni vähän samankaltaisessa tilassa kun Neuvostoliitto viimeisinä vuosinaan. Ihmiset ei enää usko Amerikkaan, samalla tavalla kun kukaan ei uskonut enää Neuvostoliittoon. Suurvallat kaatuu yleensä sisältäpäin, eikä ulkoa.

-Monissa suurkaupungeissa siellä jos tänä päivänä kävelisit USA:n lippua heiluttaen ja maan presidentin lippis päässä, niin saisit turpaan satavarmasti, ehkä pääsisit hengestäsi huonommalla alueella. Samoissa kaupungeissa sensijaan USA:n lipun polttaminen on ihan ok. Myös maan perustajien patsaat kaadetaan tai töhritään.

-Suurin osa suurkaupungeista on muuttumassa asuinkelvottomiksi ghetoiksi, missä saa väistellä vähemmistöjengien luoteja tai kauppojen loottausta. Siihen päälle vielä loputtomat vuoret kodittomia ja narkkeja kaikista etnisyyksistä.

-Maan päihdeongelma on täysin räjähtänyt käsiin. Joka 7 nuori aikuinen on jo narkki siellä. Opioidi-epidemia, meta-epidemia. Vastaavat luvut vaikka Itä-Aasiassa on vain murto-osa noista luvuista.
Quote.   About 5.1 million young adults age 18 to 25 battled a substance use disorder in 2017, which equates to 14.8% of this population and about 1 in 7 people.1

-Maa on ryssinyt täysin koronaepidemia, luoja tietää kuinka moni siellä tulee kuolemaan siihen tai menettämään terveytensä loppuiäksi. Jopa kehitysmaat on toiminut paremmin, eikä tämä ole edes republikaanien vika, demokraatit ei ole sen parempia.

Kiina ja muut maat on jo ohittanut jenkit kauan sitten kaikilla standardeilla paitsi geopoliittisesti/armeija mielessä. Mutta sekin kyllä muuttuu vielä...
Muuten meni hyvin, mutta tuo "substance use disorder" tarkoittaa kaikkia päihdeongelmaisia, mukaanlukien alkoholi.

Samassa tilastossa lukee heti lainaamasi kohdan alla, että

QuoteAbout 3.4 million young adults age 18 to 25 had an alcohol use disorder in 2017, or about 10% of young adults.1

About 2.5 million young adults had an illicit drug use disorder in 2017, or about 7.3% of this population.

https://americanaddictioncenters.org/rehab-guide/addiction-statistics
Jooh noh onhan alkoholismikin sinällään iso ongelma monille, monet vaan vähättelee sitä koska se on laillista ja kuuluu länsimaiseen kulttuuriin, eikä se ole erityisen addiktoivaa suurimmalle osalle.

Onhan Suomessakin:

Quote. Teho-osaston lääkäri Matti Reinikainen arvioi Helsingin Sanomien mielipidekirjoituksessaan, että alkoholi on vähintään osasyynä joka kymmenenteen suomalaiseen kuolemaan. Reinikaisen mukaan alkoholin haitoista puhuttaessa mainitaan usein, että alkoholi tappaa Suomessa noin 2 000 ihmistä vuodessa 
https://www.iltalehti.fi/uutiset/a/2016022521167891

QuoteWHO: Alkoholi tappaa 290 000 eurooppalaista vuodessa
https://www.laakarilehti.fi/ajassa/ajankohtaista/who-alkoholi-tappaa-290-000-eurooppalaista-vuodessa/
Fear leads to anger. Anger leads to hate. Hate leads to suffering." - Master Yoda

kriittinen_ajattelija

QuoteWe all know this, but always good to have priors confirmed.

Ok, Ekin, Yi Qian, Brendan Strejcek, and Karl Aquino. 2020. "Signaling Virtuous Victimhood as Indicators of Dark Triad Personalities." Journal of Personality and Social Psychology, July.
"
We investigate the consequences and predictors of emitting signals of victimhood and virtue. In our first three studies, we show that the virtuous victim signal can facilitate nonreciprocal resource transfer from others to the signaler. Next, we develop and validate a victim signaling scale that we combine with an established measure of virtue signaling to operationalize the virtuous victim construct. We show that individuals with Dark Triad traits-Machiavellianism, Narcissism, Psychopathy-more frequently signal virtuous victimhood, controlling for demographic and socioeconomic variables that are commonly associated with victimization in Western societies. In Study 5, we show that a specific dimension of Machiavellianism-amoral manipulation-and a form of narcissism that reflects a person's belief in their superior prosociality predict more frequent virtuous victim signaling. Studies 3, 4, and 6 test our hypothesis that the frequency of emitting virtuous victim signal predicts a person's willingness to engage in and endorse ethically questionable behaviors, such as lying to earn a bonus, intention to purchase counterfeit products and moral judgments of counterfeiters, and making exaggerated claims about being harmed in an organizational context. (PsycInfo Database Record (c) 2020 APA, all rights reserved).

"
The authors argue that the combination of the egalitarian principle in Western societies, coupled with increased concern for human suffering, provides virtue victimhood signalers with the perfect environment to flourish.

So I suppose it should consequential important to "fact check" whether somebody is really a victim and virtuous.

But problem is that that too is blocked off by the Machiavellian manipulators. While the George Floyd fundraiser is now at close to $15 million, try telling his worshippers that he was a criminal scumbag who died of a drug overdose
https://www.unz.com/akarlin/paper-victuous-victimhood-signalers-as-dark-triad-personalities/
En ihan ymmärrä kaikkea, mutta ihan kiintoisaa settiä.
Fear leads to anger. Anger leads to hate. Hate leads to suffering." - Master Yoda